Low-Heat and Low-Stress Fault Operation in Earthquake Models of Statically Strong but Dynamically Weak Faults Nadia Lapusta Division of Geological & Planetary Sciences Division of Engineering & Applied Science California Institute of Technology Abstract: Observations suggest that the San Andreas fault generates much less frictional heat that one would predict based on laboratory static friction coefficients of 0.6 to 0.8 for most rocks and effective normal stresses comparable to overburden minus hydrostatic pore pressure. Hence one concludes that earthquakes there happen under low shear stress. Two explanations are most commonly proposed: Either (1) effective normal stress is very low everywhere on the fault or (2) static friction coefficients are very low (less than 0.2) and so the laboratory values are not appropriate for real faults. There is another possible model, that of a statically strong but dynamically weak fault with small defect regions to nucleate ruptures. The idea is that such a fault would operate under low shear stress (and hence with low heat generation) as follows: Model earthquakes nucleate under low shear stress in a defect (weak) region and then propagate into strong regions due to significant dynamic weakening. We show that his idea works in simulations of earthquake sequences in a 2D depth-averaged elastic model of a faulted crustal plate slowly loaded via coupling to a steadily moving substrate. The model uses a modified version of the classical Dieterich-Ruina rate and state friction law to permit much stronger weakening at high slip rates V. In the new law with enhanced weakening, the steady-state strength varies, essentially, as 1/(1+V/constant) at high V. Such functional dependence is suggested by theoretical studies of flash heating of contact asperities at small slips and behavior of partially drained, thermally pressurized fault gouge, and perhaps liquefied gouge, at larger slips. Note that other weakening processes of dynamic nature such as sliding between different materials or undrained thermal pressurization of pore fluids may cause the fault to become dynamically weak, but their descriptions would be different.